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أثر تغير سعر الصرف على بعض المؤشرات الكلية للاقتصاد الجزائري دراسة قياسية للفترة (2000-2020)https://www.univ-soukahras.dz/en/publication/article/3033 |
Ahlem Ferrah (2022) أثر تغير سعر الصرف على بعض المؤشرات الكلية للاقتصاد الجزائري دراسة قياسية للفترة (2000-2020). university of souk ahras |
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Abstract
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Abstract
This study aimed at analyzing the impact of fluctuations in the exchange rate of the Algerian Dinar against the US dollar on the macroeconomic indicators in Algeria during the period (2000-2020) and determining the direction of these effects and the nature of their impact on it , the importance of exchange has emerged as a policy contributes to the development of the national economy, as it is effective because it has a positive impact on macroeconomic variables, and also reflects the state of each country’s economy in relation to the global economy. to achieve the objectives of this study, a descriptive approach has been used to diagnose and analyze the variables under study. Economic measurement tools have been used to explain, analyse and estimate this relationship in the short and long term, and to try to model it Using the Autoregressive Distributed Time Deceleration (ARDL) model.
Mathematical models were builts to link the variables, and the results showed a short and long-term equilibrium statistically significant relationship between them which were included in the models as follows:
- There is a positive statistically significant relationship between the exchange rate of the Algerian dinar, the inflation rate and the growth of the money supply;
- There is a negative statistically significant relationship between the exchange rate and the Trade Balance, interest rate, the foreign direct investment and the economic growth,
The study also recommended the necessity and significance of the exchange rate stability in order to control the trade balance account and attract foreign direct investment flows that rase economic growth rates and eradicate inflation.
Keywords: exchange rate ; Trade Balance ; foreign direct investment ; economic growth ;inflation ; money supply ; interest rate ;Autoregressive Distributed lag model (ARDL).
Information
Item Type: | Thesis |
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Divisions: |
» Finance, Comptabilité, Fiscalité et Assurance » Faculty of Economic, Commercial and Management Sciences |
ePrint ID: | 3033 |
Date Deposited: | 2022-06-22 |
Further Information: | Google Scholar |
URI: | https://www.univ-soukahras.dz/en/publication/article/3033 |
BibTex
@phdthesis{uniusa3033,
title={أثر تغير سعر الصرف على بعض المؤشرات الكلية للاقتصاد الجزائري دراسة قياسية للفترة (2000-2020)},
author={Ahlem Ferrah},
year={2022},
school={university of souk ahras}
}
title={أثر تغير سعر الصرف على بعض المؤشرات الكلية للاقتصاد الجزائري دراسة قياسية للفترة (2000-2020)},
author={Ahlem Ferrah},
year={2022},
school={university of souk ahras}
}